San Bartolomé vs Lanzarote: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lanzarote. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Bartolomé wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs Lanzarote?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate San Bartolomé (1,732) and Lanzarote (1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Bartolomé vs Lanzarote
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Lanzarote
Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Lanzarote have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 San Bartolomé wins, 4 draws, 2 Lanzarote wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanzarote 1-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Bartolomé 1-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Lanzarote 3-0 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | San Bartolomé 1-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Lanzarote 0-0 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | San Bartolomé 1-2 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Lanzarote vs San Bartolomé on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lanzarote | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (9 points from 5 matches) and Lanzarote sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Bartolomé | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Lanzarote | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about San Bartolomé vs Lanzarote?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Lanzarote?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lanzarote.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Lanzarote played?
- San Bartolomé vs Lanzarote is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 7, 2027San Fernando CDvsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Feb 7, 2027Las Palmas IIIvsEstrella
- Feb 7, 2027MarinovsLaguna de Duero
- Feb 7, 2027Panadería PulidovsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Feb 7, 2027Los LlanosvsPlayas Sotavento
- Feb 7, 2027San MiguelvsMensajero
- Feb 7, 2027AnazavsTenerife C
- Feb 7, 2027Villaverde NortevsVilla Santa Brígida