Match

Villa Santa Brígida vs Estrella: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Los Olivos, Santa Brígida

Villa Santa BrígidaEstrella

The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Santa Brígida vs Estrella?

Villa Santa Brígida starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,598).

Villa Santa Brígida win61 %
Draw24 %
Estrella win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Santa Brígida have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Estrella have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Santa Brígida
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Telde(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026Marino(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026Mensajero(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Tenerife C(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026San Bartolomé(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Estrella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Herbania(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025San Bartolomé(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025Santa Úrsula(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025Buzanada(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025Marino(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Villa Santa Brígida win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Estrella win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2025Estrella 1-0 Villa Santa BrígidaTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 18, 2024Villa Santa Brígida 2-1 EstrellaTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 14, 2023Villa Santa Brígida 2-0 EstrellaTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 9, 2022Estrella 0-0 Villa Santa BrígidaTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Estrella vs Villa Santa Brígida on Feb 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Santa Brígida score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villa Santa Brígida1.31.147/158/15
Estrella0.91.057/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Villa Santa Brígida3415514423550

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Santa Brígida vs Estrella?
The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Estrella.
Where and when is Villa Santa Brígida vs Estrella played?
Villa Santa Brígida vs Estrella is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Los Olivos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Villa Santa Brígida and Estrella

Ready to know everything about football?