Match

Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo: prediction and stats

CONMEBOL LibertadoresSemi-finalsKick-off on October 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo

The Footlab AI model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Flamengo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estudiantes L.P. wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Estudiantes L.P. (1,969) and Flamengo (2,039).

43%30%27%
Estudiantes L.P. winDrawFlamengo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Estudiantes L.P.

4-2-3-1
  1. 9G. Carrillo
  1. 21Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
  2. 17J. Burgos
  3. 31B. Gallego
  4. 22A. Castro
  5. 8G. Neves
  1. 4S. Núñez
  2. 14L. González
  3. 40E. Mancuso
  4. 13G. Benedetti
  1. 16F. Muslera

Flamengo

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Pedro
  1. 21Jorginho
  2. 15J. Carrascal
  3. 16Samuel Lino
  4. 5E. Pulgar
  5. 11Lucas Paquetá
  1. 4Léo Pereira
  2. 22Emerson Royal
  3. 6Ayrton Lucas
  4. 3Léo Ortiz
  1. 1A. Rossi

Known absences

  • G. de ArrascaetaOut · Muscle injury

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estudiantes L.P. have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Flamengo have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estudiantes L.P.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 5, 2026Gimnasia M.(home)3-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 2, 2026Platense(away)0-1Copa Argentina
Sep 26, 2026Rosario Central(home)1-3Super Copa International
Sep 22, 2026Lanus(away)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 17, 2026Corinthians(away)1-0CONMEBOL Libertadores
Flamengo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 8, 2026Santos(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 20, 2026RB Bragantino(home)2-1Serie A
Sep 18, 2026Independiente del Valle(home)1-1CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sep 13, 2026Corinthians(home)2-1Serie A
Sep 11, 2026Independiente del Valle(away)2-0CONMEBOL Libertadores

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Estudiantes L.P. win, 1 draw, 2 Flamengo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 21, 2026Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores
Apr 30, 2026Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores
Sep 26, 2025Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores
Sep 19, 2025Flamengo 2-1 Estudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores

Last archived meeting: Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. on May 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Estudiantes L.P. score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Flamengo score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Estudiantes L.P.1.31.056/157/15
Flamengo1.90.8510/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Estudiantes L.P. sit 2nd in CONMEBOL Libertadores (9 points from 6 matches) and Flamengo sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Flamengo651014216
2Estudiantes L.P.6231659

A question about Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
The Footlab AI model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Flamengo.
Where and when is Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo played?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo is played on October 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, in the CONMEBOL Libertadores.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo

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