Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivailo, Veliko Târnovo
The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Sportist Svoge?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,652 vs 1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Sportist Svoge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-3 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Sportist Svoge 1-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Sportist Svoge 1-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-2 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Sportist Svoge 0-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Sportist Svoge on Dec 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Sportist Svoge?
- The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Sportist Svoge.
- Where and when is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Sportist Svoge played?
- Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Sportist Svoge is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivailo, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.