Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 9Kick-off on October 8, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
Full time
What was the result of Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau?
Ethiopia won 1-0 on October 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 27′R. JamesEthiopia
Official lineup for Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ethiopia
4-2-3-1- 10A. Biniam
- 7Bereket Desta Dana
- 18W. Gezahegn
- 17C. Gugsa
- 20B. Wolde
- 5H. Sherefa
- 12A. Yesouf
- 13Ahmed Reshid
- 3R. James
- 16K. Kebede
- 23F. Getahun
Guinea-Bissau
- 7Elves
- 9Beto
- 11M. Sanca
- 8Panutche Camará
- 14Mauro Rodrigues
- 18Nito Gomes
- 19Renato Nhaga
- 20Sori Mané
- 5Fali Candé
- 21Nanu
- 1Manuel Baldé
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Guinea-Bissau have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2025 | Sierra Leone(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Egypt(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Djibouti(home) | 6-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Egypt(home) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Dec 25, 2024 | Sudan(away) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2025 | Djibouti(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Sierra Leone(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Gabon(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Burundi(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Burkina Faso(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ethiopia wins, 1 draw, 0 Guinea-Bissau wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2024 | Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Ethiopia | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
Last archived meeting: Guinea-Bissau vs Ethiopia on Jun 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guinea-Bissau score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ethiopia sit 5th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (9 points from 10 matches) and Guinea-Bissau sit 4th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | Ethiopia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy