Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 9Kick-off on October 8, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
Full time
What was the result of Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau?
Ethiopia won 1-0 on October 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 27′R. JamesEthiopia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Guinea-Bissau have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2025 | Sierra Leone(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Egypt(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Djibouti(home) | 6-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Egypt(home) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Dec 25, 2024 | Sudan(away) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2025 | Djibouti(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Sierra Leone(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Gabon(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Burundi(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Burkina Faso(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ethiopia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Guinea-Bissau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2024 | Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Ethiopia | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
Last archived meeting: Guinea-Bissau vs Ethiopia on Jun 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guinea-Bissau score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ethiopia sit 5th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (9 points from 10 matches) and Guinea-Bissau sit 4th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | Ethiopia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy