Ethiopia vs Lesotho: result 0-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Africa1st RoundKick-off on September 4, 2019 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar
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What was the result of Ethiopia vs Lesotho?
Ethiopia and Lesotho drew 0-0 on September 4, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Lesotho have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2019 | Djibouti(home) | 4-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 26, 2019 | Djibouti(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Ghana(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Kenya(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 10, 2018 | Kenya(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2019 | South Africa(away) | 3-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 28, 2019 | South Africa(home) | 3-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Tanzania(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 16, 2018 | Uganda(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ethiopia sit 5th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (9 points from 10 matches) and Lesotho sit 4th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lesotho | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 12 |
| 5 | Ethiopia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy