Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 9, 2018 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
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What was the result of Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone?
Ethiopia won 1-0 on September 9, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sierra Leone have 2, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2018 | Burundi(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 10, 2017 | Uganda(home) | 1-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 7, 2017 | Burundi(away) | 1-4 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 5, 2017 | South Sudan(away) | 3-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Rwanda(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2018 | Liberia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Iran(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Senegal(away) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Senegal(home) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Kenya(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sierra Leone score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sierra Leone | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy