Congo DR vs Sierra Leone: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 3Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte, Kinshasa
The Footlab AI model makes Congo DR the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Sierra Leone. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?
Congo DR starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,680 vs 1,430).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Congo DR vs Sierra Leone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Congo DR
4-4-2- 20Y. Wissa
- 23J. Muleka
- 7N. Mbuku
- 14N. Sadiki
- 6E. Banzuzi
- 18J. Kadile
- 22C. Mbemba
- 3S. Kapuadi
- 12J. Kayembe
- 4A. Tuanzebe
- 1D. Bertaud
Sierra Leone
4-2-3-1- 15A. Conteh
- 7I. Kanu
- 17M. Kamara
- 8Alhassan Koroma
- 14T. Fornah
- 4A. Dumbuya
- 5Alpha Turay
- 21Abdulay Bah
- 2O. Kakay
- 13G. Abdul
- 1M. Jalloh
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Congo DR have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sierra Leone have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Uganda(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Uganda(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Zimbabwe(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 1, 2026 | England(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Zimbabwe(home) | 2-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Liberia(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Liberia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Azerbaijan(away) | 1-1 | FIFA Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Congo DR win, 0 draws, 0 Sierra Leone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2022 | Congo DR 3-0 Sierra Leone | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Congo DR vs Sierra Leone on Sep 27, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Congo DR score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sierra Leone score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congo DR | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Sierra Leone | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Congo DR sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Sierra Leone sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Congo DR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sierra Leone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Congo DR the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Sierra Leone.
- Where and when is Congo DR vs Sierra Leone played?
- Congo DR vs Sierra Leone is played on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.