Etincelles vs Amagaju: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Umuganda, Gisenyi
The Footlab AI model makes Etincelles the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Amagaju. The most likely score is 0-0. If Etincelles wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,993 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etincelles vs Amagaju?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Etincelles (1,594) and Amagaju (1,563).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Etincelles vs Amagaju
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Etincelles
Not enough data to predict the Etincelles lineup.
Amagaju
Not enough data to predict the Amagaju lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etincelles have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Amagaju have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marines(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sunrise(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sunrise(home) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al Merreikh(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gicumbi(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Etincelles win, 2 draws, 3 Amagaju wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Etincelles 0-0 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Amagaju 1-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Amagaju 0-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Etincelles 2-3 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Etincelles 0-1 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Amagaju 2-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Etincelles score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Amagaju score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etincelles | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Amagaju | 1.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etincelles sit 6th in National Soccer League (7 points from 5 matches) and Amagaju sit 4th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Amagaju | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Etincelles | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Etincelles vs Amagaju?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etincelles vs Amagaju?
- The Footlab AI model makes Etincelles the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Amagaju.
- Where and when is Etincelles vs Amagaju played?
- Etincelles vs Amagaju is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Umuganda, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.