Match

Gorilla vs Etoile de l'Est: prediction and stats

National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

GorillaEtoile de l'Est

The Footlab AI model makes Gorilla the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Etoile de l'Est. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gorilla vs Etoile de l'Est?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Gorilla (1,628) and Etoile de l'Est (1,536).

45%30%25%
Gorilla winDrawEtoile de l'Est win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gorilla vs Etoile de l'Est

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gorilla

Not enough data to predict the Gorilla lineup.

Etoile de l'Est

Not enough data to predict the Etoile de l'Est lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gorilla have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Etoile de l'Est have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gorilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Police(away)0-0National Soccer League
Oct 9, 2026Rayon Sports(home)1-0National Soccer League
Sep 12, 2026Etincelles(home)0-1National Soccer League
Sep 5, 2026Kiyovu Sports(away)1-0National Soccer League
May 31, 2026Al Merreikh(home)3-1National Soccer League
Etoile de l'Est
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Mukura(home)1-1National Soccer League
Sep 15, 2026Gicumbi(home)1-2National Soccer League
Sep 12, 2026AS Kigali(home)0-0National Soccer League
Sep 5, 2026Amagaju(away)0-2National Soccer League
May 11, 2024Bugesera(home)0-3National Soccer League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gorilla wins, 1 draw, 1 Etoile de l'Est win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2024Etoile de l'Est 0-1 GorillaNational Soccer League
Nov 24, 2023Gorilla 1-0 Etoile de l'EstNational Soccer League
Jun 13, 2022Etoile de l'Est 0-0 GorillaNational Soccer League
Jan 24, 2022Gorilla 2-3 Etoile de l'EstNational Soccer League

Last archived meeting: Etoile de l'Est vs Gorilla on Apr 2, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Gorilla score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Etoile de l'Est score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gorilla1.11.149/157/15
Etoile de l'Est0.60.963/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gorilla sit 2nd in National Soccer League (7 points from 4 matches) and Etoile de l'Est sit 18th (1 point from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Gorilla4211217
18Etoile de l'Est3012141

A question about Gorilla vs Etoile de l'Est?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gorilla vs Etoile de l'Est?
The Footlab AI model makes Gorilla the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Etoile de l'Est.
Where and when is Gorilla vs Etoile de l'Est played?
Gorilla vs Etoile de l'Est is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the National Soccer League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gorilla and Etoile de l'Est

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