Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Centre Sportif du Deich, Ettelbrück
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03?
FC Differdange 03 is a heavy favourite: 1,762 Elo points against 1,322 — a 439-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etzella Ettelbruck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Differdange 03 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Etzella Ettelbruck win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 FC Differdange 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | FC Differdange 03 6-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| May 15, 2022 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Dec 12, 2021 | FC Differdange 03 4-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-3 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Sep 19, 2020 | FC Differdange 03 3-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Differdange 03 vs Etzella Ettelbruck on Feb 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th in National Division (1 points from 3 matches) and FC Differdange 03 sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03 played?
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03 is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Centre Sportif du Deich, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Sep 13, 2026US RumelangevsAtert Bissen
- Sep 13, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsVictoria Rosport
- Sep 13, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsUNA Strassen
- Sep 13, 2026US HostertvsF91 Dudelange
- Sep 13, 2026WiltzvsProgres Niederkorn
- Sep 13, 2026Swift HesperangevsRésidence Walferdange