Match

Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Centre Sportif du Deich, Ettelbrück

Etzella EttelbruckRésidence Walferdange

The Footlab model makes Résidence Walferdange the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Etzella Ettelbruck (1,331) and Résidence Walferdange (1,357).

Etzella Ettelbruck win37 %
Draw26 %
Résidence Walferdange win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etzella Ettelbruck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Résidence Walferdange have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Etzella Ettelbruck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97(home)0-1National Division
Aug 16, 2026US Hostert(away)1-5National Division
Aug 9, 2026Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home)0-1National Division
Aug 1, 2026Wiltz(away)1-1National Division
Jul 26, 2026Jeunesse Canach(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Résidence Walferdange
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Atert Bissen(home)1-2National Division
Aug 16, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97(away)2-1National Division
Aug 9, 2026Progres Niederkorn(home)0-1National Division
Aug 2, 2026US Hostert(home)3-2National Division
Jun 1, 2026Jeunesse Canach(away)1-1National Division

How many goals should we expect?

Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Résidence Walferdange score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Etzella Ettelbruck1.71.9211/1510/15
Résidence Walferdange1.91.7111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th in National Division (1 points from 3 matches) and Résidence Walferdange sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Résidence Walferdange3201546
12Etzella Ettelbruck3012271

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange?
The Footlab model makes Résidence Walferdange the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
Where and when is Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange played?
Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Centre Sportif du Deich, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Etzella Ettelbruck and Résidence Walferdange

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