Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Centre Sportif du Deich, Ettelbrück
The Footlab model makes Résidence Walferdange the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Etzella Ettelbruck (1,331) and Résidence Walferdange (1,357).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etzella Ettelbruck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Résidence Walferdange have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Résidence Walferdange score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Résidence Walferdange | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th in National Division (1 points from 3 matches) and Résidence Walferdange sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Résidence Walferdange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange?
- The Footlab model makes Résidence Walferdange the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange played?
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Centre Sportif du Deich, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026WiltzvsF91 Dudelange
- Aug 30, 2026US RumelangevsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Aug 30, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsSwift Hesperange
- Aug 30, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsVictoria Rosport
- Aug 30, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsProgres Niederkorn
- Aug 30, 2026US HostertvsFC Differdange 03
- Aug 30, 2026UNA StrassenvsAtert Bissen