US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Rumelange
The Footlab model makes US Rumelange the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for AS Jeunesse Esch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
AS Jeunesse Esch starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,483 vs 1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Rumelange have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; AS Jeunesse Esch have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(home) | 1-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Berdenia Berbourg(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 US Rumelange win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 AS Jeunesse Esch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | US Rumelange 0-5 AS Jeunesse Esch | Cup |
| Jan 25, 2023 | AS Jeunesse Esch 3-2 US Rumelange | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 23, 2019 | US Rumelange 1-1 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| Aug 12, 2018 | AS Jeunesse Esch 3-1 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Mar 5, 2017 | US Rumelange 3-2 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| Sep 12, 2016 | AS Jeunesse Esch 3-0 US Rumelange | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch on Apr 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
US Rumelange score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; AS Jeunesse Esch score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Rumelange | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| AS Jeunesse Esch | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Rumelange sit 7th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and AS Jeunesse Esch sit 13th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | US Rumelange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | US Rumelange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
- The Footlab model makes US Rumelange the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for AS Jeunesse Esch.
- Where and when is US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch played?
- US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsProgres Niederkorn
- Aug 30, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsSwift Hesperange
- Aug 30, 2026WiltzvsF91 Dudelange
- Aug 30, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsVictoria Rosport
- Aug 30, 2026US HostertvsFC Differdange 03
- Aug 30, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsRésidence Walferdange
- Aug 30, 2026UNA StrassenvsAtert Bissen