US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Becker, Hostert
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for US Hostert. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03?
FC Differdange 03 is a heavy favourite: 1,755 Elo points against 1,417 — a 338-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Hostert have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; FC Differdange 03 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-4 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 US Hostert win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 FC Differdange 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | FC Differdange 03 3-2 US Hostert | National Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | US Hostert 0-1 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Apr 27, 2025 | FC Differdange 03 4-0 US Hostert | National Division |
| Nov 3, 2024 | US Hostert 1-3 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| May 14, 2023 | FC Differdange 03 1-0 US Hostert | National Division |
| Dec 10, 2022 | US Hostert 0-5 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Differdange 03 vs US Hostert on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hostert | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Hostert sit 10th in National Division (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Differdange 03 sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for US Hostert.
- Where and when is US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03 played?
- US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03 is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Becker, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026WiltzvsF91 Dudelange
- Aug 30, 2026US RumelangevsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Aug 30, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsSwift Hesperange
- Aug 30, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsVictoria Rosport
- Aug 30, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsProgres Niederkorn
- Aug 30, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsRésidence Walferdange
- Aug 30, 2026UNA StrassenvsAtert Bissen