FC Differdange 03 vs UNA Strassen: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parc des Sports, Differdange
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for UNA Strassen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Differdange 03 vs UNA Strassen?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate FC Differdange 03 (1,762) and UNA Strassen (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Differdange 03 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; UNA Strassen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Differdange 03 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 UNA Strassen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | FC Differdange 03 0-0 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Mar 4, 2026 | FC Differdange 03 4-3 UNA Strassen | Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | UNA Strassen 3-1 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| May 25, 2025 | UNA Strassen 1-0 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNA Strassen 1-2 FC Differdange 03 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2024 | FC Differdange 03 2-0 UNA Strassen | National Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Differdange 03 vs UNA Strassen on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| UNA Strassen | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Differdange 03 sit 5th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and UNA Strassen sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Differdange 03 vs UNA Strassen?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for UNA Strassen.
- Where and when is FC Differdange 03 vs UNA Strassen played?
- FC Differdange 03 vs UNA Strassen is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parc des Sports, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026F91 DudelangevsProgres Niederkorn
- Dec 6, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsRésidence Walferdange
- Dec 6, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsWiltz
- Dec 6, 2026Victoria RosportvsAtert Bissen
- Dec 6, 2026US HostertvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Dec 6, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsUS Rumelange
- Dec 6, 2026Swift HesperangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains