US Hostert vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Becker, Hostert
The Footlab model makes Racing FC Union Luxembourg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for US Hostert. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Hostert vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
Racing FC Union Luxembourg starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,565 vs 1,436).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Hostert have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Racing FC Union Luxembourg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-4 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 5-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Jul 18, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 US Hostert win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Racing FC Union Luxembourg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | US Hostert 0-1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0-0 US Hostert | National Division |
| Feb 16, 2025 | US Hostert 1-0 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 4-1 US Hostert | National Division |
| Apr 3, 2024 | US Hostert 1-0 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Cup |
| Apr 8, 2023 | US Hostert 1-1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Hostert vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Racing FC Union Luxembourg score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hostert | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Hostert sit 10th in National Division (3 points from 3 matches) and Racing FC Union Luxembourg sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | US Hostert | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Hostert vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
- The Footlab model makes Racing FC Union Luxembourg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for US Hostert.
- Where and when is US Hostert vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg played?
- US Hostert vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Becker, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026F91 DudelangevsProgres Niederkorn
- Dec 6, 2026FC Differdange 03vsUNA Strassen
- Dec 6, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsRésidence Walferdange
- Dec 6, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsWiltz
- Dec 6, 2026Victoria RosportvsAtert Bissen
- Dec 6, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsUS Rumelange
- Dec 6, 2026Swift HesperangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains