Swift Hesperange vs US Mondorf-les-bains: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Swift Hesperange. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swift Hesperange vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
US Mondorf-les-bains starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,414).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swift Hesperange have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; US Mondorf-les-bains have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away) | 0-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 2-7 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Rumelange(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| May 23, 2026 | Union Titus Petange(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Swift Hesperange win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Swift Hesperange 1-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| May 11, 2025 | US Mondorf-les-bains 4-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Swift Hesperange 0-3 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Swift Hesperange 1-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Oct 22, 2023 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-2 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Mondorf-les-bains vs Swift Hesperange on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swift Hesperange score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swift Hesperange | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swift Hesperange sit 16th in National Division (0 points from 3 matches) and US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swift Hesperange vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Swift Hesperange.
- Where and when is Swift Hesperange vs US Mondorf-les-bains played?
- Swift Hesperange vs US Mondorf-les-bains is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Alphonse Theis, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026F91 DudelangevsProgres Niederkorn
- Dec 6, 2026FC Differdange 03vsUNA Strassen
- Dec 6, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsRésidence Walferdange
- Dec 6, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsWiltz
- Dec 6, 2026Victoria RosportvsAtert Bissen
- Dec 6, 2026US HostertvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Dec 6, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsUS Rumelange