Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar
The Footlab model makes U. Catolica the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Everton de Vina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica?
U. Catolica starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton de Vina have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; U. Catolica have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | A. Italiano(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 4, 2026 | San Luis(away) | 2-2 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Everton de Vina win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 U. Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | U. Catolica 2-1 Everton de Vina | Copa Chile |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Everton de Vina 1-3 U. Catolica | Copa Chile |
| Mar 14, 2026 | U. Catolica 2-2 Everton de Vina | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Everton de Vina 0-3 U. Catolica | Primera División |
| May 11, 2025 | Everton de Vina 2-1 U. Catolica | Copa Chile |
| Apr 26, 2025 | U. Catolica 6-0 Everton de Vina | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: U. Catolica vs Everton de Vina on Jul 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Everton de Vina score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; U. Catolica score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton de Vina | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| U. Catolica | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Everton de Vina sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and U. Catolica sit 2nd (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | U. Catolica | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 26 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 30 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica?
- The Footlab model makes U. Catolica the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Everton de Vina.
- Where and when is Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica played?
- Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Sausalito, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.