O'Higgins vs Union La Calera: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
The Footlab model makes O'Higgins the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Union La Calera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win O'Higgins vs Union La Calera?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate O'Higgins (1,786) and Union La Calera (1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, O'Higgins have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Union La Calera have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | A. Italiano(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nublense(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 4-0 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cobresal(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 O'Higgins win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Union La Calera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Union La Calera 3-3 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| Aug 3, 2025 | O'Higgins 1-0 Union La Calera | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Union La Calera 2-2 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2024 | O'Higgins 1-1 Union La Calera | Primera División |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Union La Calera 2-3 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| Oct 1, 2023 | O'Higgins 0-1 Union La Calera | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Union La Calera vs O'Higgins on Mar 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
O'Higgins score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union La Calera score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Union La Calera | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
O'Higgins sit 10th in Primera División (20 points from 15 matches) and Union La Calera sit 16th (12 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 24 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for O'Higgins vs Union La Calera?
- The Footlab model makes O'Higgins the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Union La Calera.
- Where and when is O'Higgins vs Union La Calera played?
- O'Higgins vs Union La Calera is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio El Teniente, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.