Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Coquimbo Unido. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Universidad de Chile (1,880) and Coquimbo Unido (1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad de Chile have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Coquimbo Unido have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportes Limache(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Platense(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Universidad de Chile win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Coquimbo Unido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido 0-1 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Universidad de Chile 1-1 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Coquimbo Unido 2-1 Universidad de Chile | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Universidad de Chile 1-0 Coquimbo Unido | Copa Chile |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Coquimbo Unido 0-0 Universidad de Chile | Copa Chile |
Last archived meeting: Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad de Chile score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Coquimbo Unido score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Coquimbo Unido | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad de Chile sit 3rd in Primera División (24 points from 15 matches) and Coquimbo Unido sit 4th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido?
- The Footlab model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Coquimbo Unido.
- Where and when is Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido played?
- Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.