Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes Palestino the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Universidad de Concepcion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Palestino starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,775 vs 1,607).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palestino have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Universidad de Concepcion have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nublense(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 1-3 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 1, 2026 | A. Italiano(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 2-0 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Palestino win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Universidad de Concepcion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 Palestino | Primera División |
| Jan 7, 2021 | Universidad de Concepcion 1-1 Palestino | Primera División |
| Oct 1, 2020 | Palestino 0-1 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Universidad de Concepcion 0-0 Palestino | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Palestino 4-1 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| Jul 21, 2018 | Universidad de Concepcion 3-2 Palestino | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Universidad de Concepcion vs Palestino on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palestino score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad de Concepcion score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palestino | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palestino sit 5th in Primera División (24 points from 15 matches) and Universidad de Concepcion sit 11th (19 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 19 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion?
- The Footlab model makes Palestino the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Universidad de Concepcion.
- Where and when is Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion played?
- Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.