Match

Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside

Everton U21Middlesbrough U21

The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Everton U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Everton U21 (1,762) and Middlesbrough U21 (1,820).

Everton U21 win33 %
Draw22 %
Middlesbrough U21 win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton U21 have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Middlesbrough U21 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Everton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Liverpool U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Stockport County(away)3-6EFL Trophy
Jul 21, 2026Shrewsbury(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 11, 2026Huddersfield Town U21(away)1-3Professional Development League
May 1, 2026Brentford U21(home)4-2Professional Development League
Middlesbrough U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Norwich City U21(home)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Solihull Moors(away)3-1National League Cup
Aug 11, 2026Hartlepool(away)10-0National League Cup
Apr 25, 2026Chelsea U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)2-0Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Everton U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Middlesbrough U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2025Middlesbrough U21 0-1 Everton U21Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2023Middlesbrough U21 2-2 Everton U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough U21 vs Everton U21 on Sep 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Everton U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Everton U211.72.3110/159/15
Middlesbrough U212.51.239/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Everton U21 sit 9th in Premier League 2 Division One (1 points from 1 matches) and Middlesbrough U21 sit 31st (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Everton U211010111
31Middlesbrough U211001010

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Everton U21.
Where and when is Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 played?
Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Everton U21 and Middlesbrough U21

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