Match

Gloucester City vs Evesham United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire

Gloucester CityEvesham United

The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gloucester City vs Evesham United?

Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,709).

Gloucester City win71 %
Draw18 %
Evesham United win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gloucester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanwell Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chertsey Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Evesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanworth Villa(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chichester City(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Frome Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gloucester City win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Evesham United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Gloucester City 2-2 Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 25, 2025Evesham United 1-1 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Evesham United on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gloucester City1.61.267/158/15
Evesham United1.31.748/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Evesham United sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Evesham United42028106
15Gloucester City4112454

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Evesham United?
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Evesham United.
Where and when is Gloucester City vs Evesham United played?
Gloucester City vs Evesham United is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gloucester City and Evesham United

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