Match

Malvern Town vs Poole Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire

Malvern TownPoole Town

The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Poole Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malvern Town vs Poole Town?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,794) and Poole Town (1,823).

Malvern Town win43 %
Draw24 %
Poole Town win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malvern Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wimborne Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bracknell Town(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Taunton Town(away)2-5Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Hanwell Town(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malvern Town1.91.848/1511/15
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (2 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Poole Town4202566
22Malvern Town40224102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Poole Town?
The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Poole Town.
Where and when is Malvern Town vs Poole Town played?
Malvern Town vs Poole Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Malvern Town and Poole Town

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