Malvern Town vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poole Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Poole Town?
Poole Town starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,795).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malvern Town vs Poole Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Poole Town
Not enough data to predict the Poole Town lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Poole Town have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Malvern Town score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern Town | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malvern Town sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern South (11 points from 12 matches) and Poole Town sit 1st (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 27 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 11 |
A question about Malvern Town vs Poole Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Malvern Town vs Poole Town played?
- Malvern Town vs Poole Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026UxbridgevsFrome Town
- Dec 12, 2026Basingstoke TownvsYate Town
- Dec 12, 2026Bracknell TownvsBath City
- Dec 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsHavant & Wville
- Dec 12, 2026Chichester CityvsTaunton Town
- Dec 12, 2026Evesham UnitedvsWimborne Town
- Dec 12, 2026SholingvsHanworth Villa
- Dec 12, 2026Chippenham TownvsHanwell Town