FC Lisse vs Blauw Geel: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ter Specke, Lisse
The Footlab AI model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Blauw Geel. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,445 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Lisse vs Blauw Geel?
FC Lisse starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Lisse vs Blauw Geel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Lisse
4-3-3- 22J. Hak
- 8J. Zwetsloot
- 9E. Stroo
- 15M. Scholten
- 24R. van Ekeris
- 3Gijs de Bruin
- 2O. El Baad
- 23Q. Poulina
- 32Julian Popma
- 5D. Bäly
- 1S. Verswijveren
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9L. Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7B. van den Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9D. de Meij
- 8H. van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 4D. Arts
- 5B. Eltink
- 4M. Zeller
- 1J. Zielschot
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lisse have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Blauw Geel have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | GOES(away) | 6-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | EVV(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Lisse wins, 0 draws, 3 Blauw Geel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Blauw Geel 0-3 FC Lisse | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 4, 2025 | FC Lisse 0-1 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Blauw Geel 2-1 FC Lisse | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 12, 2024 | FC Lisse 2-3 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 20, 2023 | FC Lisse 1-0 Blauw Geel | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Blauw Geel 1-2 FC Lisse | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Blauw Geel vs FC Lisse on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lisse score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Blauw Geel score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lisse | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Blauw Geel | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Lisse sit 2nd in Derde Divisie (28 points from 11 matches) and Blauw Geel sit 11th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Lisse | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 28 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
A question about FC Lisse vs Blauw Geel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Lisse vs Blauw Geel?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Blauw Geel.
- Where and when is FC Lisse vs Blauw Geel played?
- FC Lisse vs Blauw Geel is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ter Specke, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.