Rijnvogels vs Excelsior Maassluis: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Kooltuin, Katwijk aan Zee
The Footlab AI model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Excelsior Maassluis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rijnvogels wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rijnvogels vs Excelsior Maassluis?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Rijnvogels (1,876) and Excelsior Maassluis (1,936).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rijnvogels vs Excelsior Maassluis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rijnvogels
4-3-3- 9M. van der Meer
- 10Boris van der Wiel
- 22N. Haddadi
- 6Jay Zandbergen
- 8Jesse Driebergen
- 11Y. Kaabouni
- 4K. Michel
- 2K. Gómez-Nieto
- 5J. Scholten
- 26D. van der Plas
- 23D. van de Riet
Excelsior Maassluis
4-3-3- 27D. Plank
- 17D. Slagveer
- 9B. Wennekers
- 30Y. Hamd
- 8J. Udenhout
- 21N. Nagtegaal
- 24D. Lopes Varela
- 12B. Riley
- 4D. Heuvelman
- 29S. Smits
- 16K. El Fakiri
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 02:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rijnvogels have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Excelsior Maassluis have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 5-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | EVV(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Rijnvogels win, 0 draws, 1 Excelsior Maassluis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 Rijnvogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels 2-1 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rijnvogels score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Maassluis score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijnvogels | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Excelsior Maassluis | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rijnvogels sit 4th in Derde Divisie (23 points from 11 matches) and Excelsior Maassluis sit 3rd (26 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 23 |
A question about Rijnvogels vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rijnvogels vs Excelsior Maassluis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Excelsior Maassluis.
- Where and when is Rijnvogels vs Excelsior Maassluis played?
- Rijnvogels vs Excelsior Maassluis is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Kooltuin, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.