FA Šiauliai II vs Kauno Žalgiris II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas, Šiauliai
The Footlab model makes FA Šiauliai II the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Kauno Žalgiris II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FA Šiauliai II vs Kauno Žalgiris II?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate FA Šiauliai II (1,195) and Kauno Žalgiris II (1,174).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FA Šiauliai II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Kauno Žalgiris II have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jonava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Žalgiris II(home) | 1-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | BFA(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FA Šiauliai II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kauno Žalgiris II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II 2-0 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2025 | FA Šiauliai II 1-2 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| May 3, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris II 5-2 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris II 0-5 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 3, 2024 | FA Šiauliai II 4-4 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 2, 2023 | FA Šiauliai II 2-2 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Kauno Žalgiris II vs FA Šiauliai II on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FA Šiauliai II score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kauno Žalgiris II score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FA Šiauliai II | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kauno Žalgiris II | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FA Šiauliai II sit 14th in 1 Lyga (14 points from 21 matches) and Kauno Žalgiris II sit 15th (13 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | FA Šiauliai II | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 14 |
| 15 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 34 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FA Šiauliai II vs Kauno Žalgiris II?
- The Footlab model makes FA Šiauliai II the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Kauno Žalgiris II.
- Where and when is FA Šiauliai II vs Kauno Žalgiris II played?
- FA Šiauliai II vs Kauno Žalgiris II is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.