Neptūną Klaipėda vs Hegelmann II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Klaipėdos centrinio stadiono atsarginė aikštė, Klaipėda
The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Hegelmann II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neptūną Klaipėda vs Hegelmann II?
Neptūną Klaipėda starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,461 vs 1,197).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neptūną Klaipėda have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Hegelmann II have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BFA(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ekranas(home) | 3-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Be1 NFA(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Minija(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-4 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Neptūną Klaipėda win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hegelmann II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Hegelmann II 2-3 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Hegelmann II 0-1 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Neptūną Klaipėda 2-0 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Hegelmann II 2-1 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Neptūną Klaipėda 5-0 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Hegelmann II vs Neptūną Klaipėda on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neptūną Klaipėda score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hegelmann II score 1.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neptūną Klaipėda | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hegelmann II | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neptūną Klaipėda sit 5th in 1 Lyga (38 points from 21 matches) and Hegelmann II sit 12th (19 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 38 |
| 12 | Hegelmann II | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neptūną Klaipėda vs Hegelmann II?
- The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Hegelmann II.
- Where and when is Neptūną Klaipėda vs Hegelmann II played?
- Neptūną Klaipėda vs Hegelmann II is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Klaipėdos centrinio stadiono atsarginė aikštė, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.