Babrungas vs Jonava: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Plungė
The Footlab AI model makes Babrungas the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Jonava. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Babrungas vs Jonava?
Babrungas starts as the favourite with a 271-point Elo edge (1,570 vs 1,298).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Babrungas vs Jonava
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Babrungas
4-3-3- 9Pedro Bahia
- 7P. Borja
- 10Robinho
- 22L. Cepkauskas
- 5A. Latakas
- 6S. B. Ajayi
- 11M. Skirmantas
- 8K. Mantinis
- 14T. Budrys
- 3A. Barusas
- 99D. Kublickas
Jonava
4-3-3- 11E. Mickevičius
- 9A. Raginis
- 99M. Ganusauskas
- 44T. Dombrauskis
- 77A. Stulga
- 23A. Rocys
- 12L. Čerkauskas
- 92A. Dubickas
- 21G. Nikonovas
- 14P. Nainys
- 1V. Šivickas
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Babrungas have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Jonava have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 3-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | BFA(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dainava(home) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Babrungas wins, 1 draw, 3 Jonava wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Jonava 1-1 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Babrungas 1-2 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Jonava 1-2 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Babrungas 2-1 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| May 27, 2023 | Jonava 3-2 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 6, 2021 | Babrungas 1-2 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Babrungas score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jonava score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Babrungas | 1.4 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Jonava | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Babrungas sit 2nd in 1 Lyga (61 points from 25 matches) and Jonava sit 10th (27 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 11 | 61 |
| 10 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 27 |
A question about Babrungas vs Jonava?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Babrungas vs Jonava?
- The Footlab AI model makes Babrungas the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Jonava.
- Where and when is Babrungas vs Jonava played?
- Babrungas vs Jonava is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.