Fakel vs Ural: result 1-0 and analysis
CupRegions Path - Semi-finalsKick-off on October 16, 2025 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov, Voronezh
Full time
What was the result of Fakel vs Ural?
Fakel won 1-0 on October 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 51′N. AbdokovFakel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fakel have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Ural have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Chayka(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Enisey(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2025 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-5 | First League |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | PSK Dinskaya(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 15, 2025 | FC UFA(away) | 3-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Fakel win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Ural win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ural 2-0 Fakel | First League |
| May 12, 2024 | Fakel 0-0 Ural | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Ural 0-0 Fakel | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Ural 2-0 Fakel | Premier League |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Fakel 0-0 Ural | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fakel score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ural score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel | 0.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Ural | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy