Sunnersta vs Korsnäs: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra SvealandNorra Svealand - 25Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sunnersta the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Korsnäs. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunnersta vs Korsnäs?
Sunnersta is a heavy favourite: 1,577 Elo points against 1,261 — a 317-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunnersta have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Korsnäs have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angby(home) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Täby(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Falu BS(away) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Viggbyholms IK(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Helges(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gute(home) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Enskede(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Täby(away) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helges(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Bollstanäs(away) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Sunnersta win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Korsnäs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Korsnäs 1-4 Sunnersta | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Korsnäs 1-1 Sunnersta | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Sunnersta 4-1 Korsnäs | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Sunnersta score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Korsnäs score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunnersta | 2.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Korsnäs | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunnersta sit 2nd in Division 2 - Norra Svealand (25 points from 12 matches) and Korsnäs sit 12th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunnersta | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Sunnersta | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
| 12 | Korsnäs | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 9 |
| 13 | Korsnäs | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 43 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunnersta vs Korsnäs?
- The Footlab model makes Sunnersta the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Korsnäs.
- Where and when is Sunnersta vs Korsnäs played?
- Sunnersta vs Korsnäs is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.