Famalicao vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
The Footlab model makes Famalicao the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Famalicao (2,112) and GIL Vicente (2,048).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Famalicao have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; GIL Vicente have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-3 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Lens(away) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Famalicao win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 GIL Vicente win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | GIL Vicente 5-0 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Famalicao 0-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 17, 2025 | GIL Vicente 0-2 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Famalicao 1-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 29, 2024 | GIL Vicente 1-2 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Famalicao 3-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: GIL Vicente vs Famalicao on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Famalicao score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao | 0.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Famalicao sit 12th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 8th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GIL Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab model makes Famalicao the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for GIL Vicente.
- Where and when is Famalicao vs GIL Vicente played?
- Famalicao vs GIL Vicente is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.