Academico Viseu vs FC Porto: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu
The Footlab model makes FC Porto the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Academico Viseu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academico Viseu vs FC Porto?
FC Porto is a heavy favourite: 2,351 Elo points against 1,993 — a 358-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academico Viseu have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Porto have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Academico Viseu win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Porto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | Academico Viseu 0-1 FC Porto | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | FC Porto 3-0 Academico Viseu | Taça da Liga |
| Jul 17, 2021 | FC Porto 3-2 Academico Viseu | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 12, 2020 | FC Porto 3-0 Academico Viseu | Taça de Portugal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | Academico Viseu 1-1 FC Porto | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Academico Viseu vs FC Porto on Feb 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Academico Viseu score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Porto score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Porto | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academico Viseu sit 11th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and FC Porto sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Academico Viseu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academico Viseu vs FC Porto?
- The Footlab model makes FC Porto the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Academico Viseu.
- Where and when is Academico Viseu vs FC Porto played?
- Academico Viseu vs FC Porto is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.