Nacional vs Estrela: result 2-3 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Estrela?
Estrela won 2-3 on August 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′Wesley GasolinaNacional
- 45′I. StoicaEstrela (pen.)
- 62′A. MarcusEstrela
- 66′Pablo RuanNacional
- 83′L. AntonettiEstrela
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Nacional win at 41%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Nacional vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Nacional
3-4-2-1- 99Pablo Ruan
- 10Daniel Júnior
- 8Miguel Baeza
- 21W. Kokolo
- 22Filipe Soares
- 28Liziero
- 52Wesley Gasolina
- 38Zé Vitor
- 6Matheus Dias
- 34Léo Santos
- 1Renato Bellucci
Estrela
4-3-3- 10I. Stoica
- 37L. Antonetti
- 99A. Marcus
- 8Robinho
- 39Eddy Doue
- 14L. Zvonarek
- 55Rafa Soares
- 5S. Leković
- 30Luan Patrick
- 21M. Scholze
- 24Léo Linck
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Estrela have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nacional wins, 1 draw, 3 Estrela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Estrela 2-0 Nacional | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nacional 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Estrela 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Estrela 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Estrela | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 16th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 8 matches) and Estrela sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Nacional vs Estrela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy