Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Chelmsford City (1,874) and AFC Totton (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Totton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-6 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chelmsford City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AFC Totton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Chelmsford City 1-1 AFC Totton | National League - South |
| Oct 25, 2025 | AFC Totton 2-1 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton on Mar 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| AFC Totton | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and AFC Totton sit 11th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton?
- The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for AFC Totton.
- Where and when is Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton played?
- Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsMaidenhead
- Feb 13, 2027TorquayvsWalton & Hersham
- Feb 13, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsTruro City
- Feb 13, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsBraintree
- Feb 13, 2027Slough TownvsMaidstone Utd
- Feb 13, 2027Weston-super-MarevsDorking Wanderers
- Feb 13, 2027Folkestone InvictavsChesham United
- Feb 13, 2027HorshamvsFarnborough