Match

Horsham vs Farnborough: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

HorshamFarnborough

The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Farnborough?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Horsham (1,821) and Farnborough (1,776).

Horsham win48 %
Draw25 %
Farnborough win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Farnborough have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Farnborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidenhead(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Chesham United(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Bath City(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Horsham win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Farnborough win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Farnborough 2-0 HorshamNational League - South
Dec 30, 2025Horsham 2-2 FarnboroughNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Farnborough vs Horsham on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Horsham1.21.255/157/15
Farnborough1.81.4410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Farnborough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
7Farnborough4211447

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Farnborough?
The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Farnborough.
Where and when is Horsham vs Farnborough played?
Horsham vs Farnborough is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Horsham and Farnborough

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