FAS vs Alianza: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Óscar Alberto Quiteño, Santa Ana
The Footlab model makes FAS the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Alianza. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FAS vs Alianza?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate FAS (1,793) and Alianza (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FAS have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Alianza have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Águila(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Municipal(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Verdes(home) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CD Marathon(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FAS win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Alianza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alianza 0-2 FAS | Primera Division |
| Feb 15, 2026 | FAS 3-1 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | FAS 2-2 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Alianza 2-0 FAS | Primera Division |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Alianza 1-0 FAS | Primera Division |
| Feb 9, 2025 | FAS 1-1 Alianza | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
FAS score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAS | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Alianza | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FAS sit 4th in Primera Division (10 points from 6 matches) and Alianza sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FAS | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FAS vs Alianza?
- The Footlab model makes FAS the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Alianza.
- Where and when is FAS vs Alianza played?
- FAS vs Alianza is played on September 13, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Óscar Alberto Quiteño, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.