Águila vs Inca Aruba: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 10Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, San Miguel
Full time
What was the result of Águila vs Inca Aruba?
Águila won 3-1 on September 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′D. Gregori DiazÁguila
- 54′F. AndradaÁguila
- 68′C. GarayÁguila
- 88′Arafat Al HajInca Aruba
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Águila win at 73%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águila have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Inca Aruba have 2, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 23, 2026 | FAS(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 2-4 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inter(away) | 1-4 | Primera Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Águila score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Inca Aruba score 0.6 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águila | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Inca Aruba | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 3/9 | 3/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águila sit 4th in Primera Division (24 points from 16 matches) and Inca Aruba sit 9th (16 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Águila | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 24 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
A question about Águila vs Inca Aruba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy