Match

Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaWelayta Dicha

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Mekelakeya, 37% for a draw, 31% for Welayta Dicha. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha?

A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Mekelakeya (1,565) and Welayta Dicha (1,566).

32%37%31%
Mekelakeya winDrawWelayta Dicha win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Welayta Dicha

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Damtew
  2. 19Y. Darza
  3. 11A. Aliso
  1. 8A. Kidane
  2. 16T. Taffese
  3. 14M. Nicole
  1. 44N. Nasaro
  2. 27Yonatan Elias
  3. 5K. Kebede
  4. 26Wubshet Kifle
  1. 1B. Genetu

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Welayta Dicha have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-0Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sheger Ketema(away)0-2Premier League
Jun 21, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-0Premier League
Welayta Dicha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Fasil Ketema(home)0-0Premier League
Jul 2, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(home)0-0Premier League
Jun 27, 2026Adama Kenema(away)2-0Premier League
Jun 22, 2026Mebrat Hayl(home)1-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mekelakeya wins, 1 draw, 1 Welayta Dicha win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Welayta Dicha 4-3 MekelakeyaPremier League
Oct 19, 2025Mekelakeya 1-0 Welayta DichaPremier League
May 25, 2025Welayta Dicha 1-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Oct 2, 2024Mekelakeya 3-1 Welayta DichaPremier League
Mar 28, 2024Mekelakeya 1-0 Welayta DichaPremier League
Oct 28, 2023Welayta Dicha 0-1 MekelakeyaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Welayta Dicha vs Mekelakeya on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Welayta Dicha score 0.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.80.784/154/15
Welayta Dicha0.80.4113/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and Welayta Dicha sit 9th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Mekelakeya2101113
9Welayta Dicha2020112

A question about Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Mekelakeya, 37% for a draw, 31% for Welayta Dicha.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha played?
Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mekelakeya and Welayta Dicha

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