FBC Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 5Kick-off on August 16, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, Arequipa
Match postponed — new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FBC Melgar have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; UTC Cajamarca have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 28, 2020 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Cusco(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 19, 2020 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | Deportivo Llacuabamba(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 28, 2020 | FBC Melgar(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Deportivo Binacional(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2020 | Cusco(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 10, 2020 | Deportivo Municipal(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FBC Melgar win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 UTC Cajamarca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | UTC Cajamarca 1-1 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
| Aug 17, 2019 | UTC Cajamarca 0-2 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
| Mar 21, 2019 | FBC Melgar 1-1 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
| Nov 8, 2018 | UTC Cajamarca 3-0 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
| Aug 17, 2018 | FBC Melgar 3-3 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
| Oct 13, 2017 | UTC Cajamarca 0-0 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar on Feb 28, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
FBC Melgar score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UTC Cajamarca score 1.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| UTC Cajamarca | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FBC Melgar sit 5th in Primera División (28 points from 17 matches) and UTC Cajamarca sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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- Aug 16, 2020Atletico GrauvsAcademia Cantolao
- Aug 16, 2020Carlos A. MannuccivsU. San Martin
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