Match

Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

CiencianoUTC Cajamarca

The Footlab AI model makes Cienciano the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for UTC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?

Cienciano starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,724 vs 1,487).

74%17%9%
Cienciano winDrawUTC Cajamarca win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cienciano

4-2-3-1
  1. 21C. Garcés
  1. 11N. Bandiera
  2. 7C. Souza
  3. 29A. Robles
  4. 5S. Arias
  5. 88G. Barreto
  1. 3K. Becerra
  2. 4M. Amondarain
  3. 13C. Núñez
  4. 16M. Martinich
  1. 1G. Falcón

UTC Cajamarca

4-2-3-1
  1. 9M. de Jesús
  1. 10M. Lliuya
  2. 16A. Figuera
  3. 15J. Cerro
  4. 22D. Camacho
  5. 88L. Arce
  1. 35G. Paredes
  2. 2B. Duarte
  3. 6F. Cavagna
  4. 3M. Ganoza
  1. 1Á. Campos

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cienciano have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; UTC Cajamarca have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cienciano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 8, 2026UCV Moquegua(away)2-0Primera División
Sep 30, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home)1-1Primera División
Sep 23, 2026ADT(away)1-2Primera División
Sep 18, 2026Atletico Torque(away)0-3CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Sep 11, 2026Atletico Torque(home)2-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana
UTC Cajamarca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Sporting Cristal(home)0-1Primera División
Sep 20, 2026Sport Huancayo(away)2-3Primera División
Sep 11, 2026Juan Pablo II College(home)1-2Primera División
Sep 4, 2026Alianza Atletico(away)2-3Primera División
Aug 29, 2026Universitario(home)2-4Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cienciano wins, 3 draws, 0 UTC Cajamarca wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026UTC Cajamarca 2-2 CiencianoPrimera División
Oct 13, 2025UTC Cajamarca 0-2 CiencianoPrimera División
May 24, 2025Cienciano 6-1 UTC CajamarcaPrimera División
Sep 13, 2024UTC Cajamarca 1-2 CiencianoPrimera División
Apr 7, 2024Cienciano 1-1 UTC CajamarcaPrimera División
Jul 8, 2023Cienciano 2-2 UTC CajamarcaPrimera División

Last archived meeting: UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cienciano score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UTC Cajamarca score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cienciano1.71.356/157/15
UTC Cajamarca1.32.1112/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cienciano sit 7th in Primera División (44 points from 28 matches) and UTC Cajamarca sit 18th (15 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Cienciano2813510484044
18UTC Cajamarca284816325115

A question about Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?
The Footlab AI model makes Cienciano the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for UTC Cajamarca.
Where and when is Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca played?
Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cienciano and UTC Cajamarca

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