Where and when is Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca played?

Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

Cienciano

UTC Cajamarca

The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for UTC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?

Cienciano starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,530).

Cienciano win72 %

Draw18 %

UTC Cajamarca win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cienciano have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; UTC Cajamarca have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cienciano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sport Boys(away)	1-5	Primera División
Aug 21, 2026	Botafogo(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 16, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(home)	0-0	Primera División
Aug 14, 2026	Botafogo(home)	6-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 6, 2026	Alianza Atletico(away)	0-1	Primera División

UTC Cajamarca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Comerciantes Unidos(home)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Alianza Lima(away)	0-1	Primera División
Aug 8, 2026	ADT(home)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 1, 2026	Cusco(away)	1-4	Primera División
Jul 26, 2026	UCV Moquegua(home)	0-0	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cienciano win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 UTC Cajamarca win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	UTC Cajamarca 2-2 Cienciano	Primera División
Oct 13, 2025	UTC Cajamarca 0-2 Cienciano	Primera División
May 24, 2025	Cienciano 6-1 UTC Cajamarca	Primera División
Sep 13, 2024	UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Cienciano	Primera División
Apr 7, 2024	Cienciano 1-1 UTC Cajamarca	Primera División
Jul 8, 2023	Cienciano 2-2 UTC Cajamarca	Primera División

Last archived meeting: UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cienciano score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UTC Cajamarca score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cienciano	1.6	1.3	4	7/15	7/15
UTC Cajamarca	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cienciano sit 3rd in Primera División (33 points from 17 matches) and UTC Cajamarca sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
6	Cienciano	23	11	4	8	38	33	37
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	21	26	18
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	21	26	18
16	Cienciano	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
16	Cienciano	6	1	1	4	4	11	4
17	UTC Cajamarca	4	0	2	2	3	8	2
17	UTC Cajamarca	6	0	2	4	4	12	2
18	UTC Cajamarca	23	4	8	11	25	38	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?: The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for UTC Cajamarca.
Where and when is Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca played?: Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.