Hessen Kassel vs VfR Mannheim: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Auestadion, Kassel
The Footlab model makes Hessen Kassel the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for VfR Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hessen Kassel vs VfR Mannheim?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Hessen Kassel (1,948) and VfR Mannheim (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hessen Kassel have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; VfR Mannheim have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Lippstadt 08(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hessen Kassel | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| VfR Mannheim | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hessen Kassel sit 12th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 2 matches) and VfR Mannheim sit 14th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | VfR Mannheim | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hessen Kassel vs VfR Mannheim?
- The Footlab model makes Hessen Kassel the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for VfR Mannheim.
- Where and when is Hessen Kassel vs VfR Mannheim played?
- Hessen Kassel vs VfR Mannheim is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Auestadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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