SGV Freiberg vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate SGV Freiberg (2,029) and Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(home) | 3-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ZFC Meuselwitz(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SGV Freiberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 0-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 1, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 1-1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 1-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 14, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 1-1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 1-0 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 19, 2023 | SGV Freiberg 0-4 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs SGV Freiberg on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn..
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. played?
- SGV Freiberg vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026SV SandhausenvsKickers Offenbach
- Oct 17, 2026VfR AalenvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Oct 17, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Oct 17, 2026Eintracht TriervsFSV Frankfurt
- Oct 17, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsFreiburg II
- Oct 17, 2026Hessen KasselvsVfR Mannheim
- Oct 17, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsTSV Steinbach
- Oct 17, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsKaiserslautern II