FC 08 Homburg vs Hessen Kassel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Homburg, Homburg
The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Hessen Kassel. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC 08 Homburg vs Hessen Kassel?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate FC 08 Homburg (2,011) and Hessen Kassel (1,946).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC 08 Homburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Hessen Kassel have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reutlingen(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Lippstadt 08(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC 08 Homburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Hessen Kassel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Hessen Kassel 0-0 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 2, 2025 | FC 08 Homburg 1-1 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Hessen Kassel 2-1 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 17, 2024 | FC 08 Homburg 1-1 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Hessen Kassel 2-1 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 21, 2023 | FC 08 Homburg 2-1 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Hessen Kassel vs FC 08 Homburg on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC 08 Homburg score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC 08 Homburg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hessen Kassel | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC 08 Homburg sit 4th in Regionalliga - SudWest (6 points from 3 matches) and Hessen Kassel sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC 08 Homburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC 08 Homburg vs Hessen Kassel?
- The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Hessen Kassel.
- Where and when is FC 08 Homburg vs Hessen Kassel played?
- FC 08 Homburg vs Hessen Kassel is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Homburg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026SV SandhausenvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Sep 19, 2026VfR AalenvsSGV Freiberg
- Sep 19, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsKaiserslautern II
- Sep 19, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsStuttgarter Kickers
- Sep 19, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsVfR Mannheim
- Sep 19, 2026Eintracht TriervsKickers Offenbach
- Sep 19, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsFreiburg II
- Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsTSV Steinbach