Match

FSV Mainz 05 II vs Kaiserslautern II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05 IIKaiserslautern II

The Footlab model makes Kaiserslautern II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs Kaiserslautern II?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915) and Kaiserslautern II (2,003).

FSV Mainz 05 II win31 %
Draw23 %
Kaiserslautern II win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kaiserslautern II have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Mainz 05 II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)1-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FC 08 Homburg(away)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026Kreuzlingen(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Kaiserslautern II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026TSV Steinbach(home)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026FC Astoria Walldorf(away)3-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026SGV Freiberg(home)0-5Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 2, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Bonner SC(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kaiserslautern II score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FSV Mainz 05 II1.41.449/1510/15
Kaiserslautern II2.41.368/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and Kaiserslautern II sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13FSV Mainz 05 II3102463
16Kaiserslautern II3021382

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 II vs Kaiserslautern II?
The Footlab model makes Kaiserslautern II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 II vs Kaiserslautern II played?
FSV Mainz 05 II vs Kaiserslautern II is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FSV Mainz 05 II and Kaiserslautern II

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