FC Cartagena vs Real Jaén: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, Cartagena
The Footlab AI model makes FC Cartagena the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Real Jaén. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Cartagena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Cartagena vs Real Jaén?
On Elo ratings, FC Cartagena has 1,882 points and Real Jaén 1,985.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Cartagena vs Real Jaén
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Cartagena
4-3-3- 17Raúl Dacosta
- 10I. Ribeiro
- 16Marcos Moreno
- 8P. De Blasis
- 14Toni Villa
- 15J. Jules
- 5Imanol Baz
- 2Marc Jurado
- 24L. Lohr
- 19Adrián Corral
- 13L. Garcia
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 19M. Keita
- 14C. Polo
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 10Paz Adri
- 8Antonio Caballero
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 3D. Serrano
- 17Javi Moyano
- 20Mauro Cabello
- 1J. Morillas
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cartagena have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Jaén have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Europa Fc(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Cartagena score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cartagena | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Jaén | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Cartagena sit 8th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (15 points from 10 matches) and Real Jaén sit 3rd (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Jaén | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Cartagena | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
A question about FC Cartagena vs Real Jaén?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Cartagena vs Real Jaén?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Cartagena the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Real Jaén.
- Where and when is FC Cartagena vs Real Jaén played?
- FC Cartagena vs Real Jaén is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.