FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Gomel: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Spartak, Mogilev
The Footlab model makes FC Gomel the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for FC Dnepr Mogilev. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Gomel?
FC Gomel starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dnepr Mogilev have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; FC Gomel have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Dnepr Mogilev win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Gomel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | FC Gomel 2-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 FC Gomel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 20, 2024 | FC Gomel 1-1 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
| May 27, 2024 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2024 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 3-0 FC Gomel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2023 | FC Gomel 1-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FC Gomel vs FC Dnepr Mogilev on Jun 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Dnepr Mogilev score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Gomel score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dnepr Mogilev | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Gomel | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15th in Premier League (14 points from 19 matches) and FC Gomel sit 5th (30 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Gomel | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Gomel?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gomel the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for FC Dnepr Mogilev.
- Where and when is FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Gomel played?
- FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Gomel is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Spartak, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.