Arsenal vs Bate Borisov: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Haradski, Dzerzhinsk
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Bate Borisov. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arsenal wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,856 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Arsenal (1,512) and Bate Borisov (1,606).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal vs Bate Borisov
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal
3-5-2- 69R. Ermolin
- 90D. Antilevskiy
- 77N. Sotnikov
- 18D. Volskiy
- 46V. Vasilyev
- 2E. Bozhko
- 79K. Badoev
- 31A. Zaleskiy
- 41D. Lutik
- 71M. Matveev
- 1I. Sanko
Bate Borisov
3-4-3- 17Y. Kovalev
- 26V. Varaksa
- 37E. Puerto
- 25N. Neskoromny
- 52E. Kress
- 23N. Bochko
- 7V. Angban
- 28I. Mikhnyuk
- 88P. Dubovskiy
- 6H. Moussakhanian
- 35A. Skopets
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Bate Borisov have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Minsk(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baranovichi(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Neman(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arsenal wins, 1 draw, 3 Bate Borisov wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Bate Borisov 2-3 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Bate Borisov 0-1 Arsenal | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Bate Borisov 0-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| May 2, 2025 | Arsenal 0-1 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Bate Borisov 2-1 Arsenal | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Bate Borisov 3-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bate Borisov vs Arsenal on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bate Borisov score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 0.6 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Bate Borisov | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal sit 12th in Premier League (23 points from 24 matches) and Bate Borisov sit 13th (21 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arsenal | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 23 |
| 13 | Bate Borisov | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 32 | 21 |
A question about Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Bate Borisov.
- Where and when is Arsenal vs Bate Borisov played?
- Arsenal vs Bate Borisov is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Haradski, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.