Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ?
Jong AZ starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong Ajax
4-3-3- 9E. Ünüvar
- 11P. Nash
- 7Leo Salazar
- 8Mohamed Abdalla
- 10Alejandro Monserrate
- 6M. Verkuijl
- 4M. Muzungu
- 2R. van de Pavert
- 5Sinclair de Falco
- 3G. Spina
- 1C. Setford
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1- 9Jerolldino Armantrading
- 8J. Oerip
- 6R. Robbemond
- 10H. de Wit
- 11T. de Wit
- 7K. Toppenberg
- 2J. Zwart
- 3A. Natali
- 5K. Inge
- 4F. Andersen
- 1K. Zeggen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Ajax have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Jong AZ have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 6-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jong Ajax wins, 0 draws, 4 Jong AZ wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Jong AZ 3-0 Jong Ajax | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Jong AZ 1-2 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Jong Ajax 4-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Jong AZ 2-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Jong Ajax 1-2 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| May 10, 2024 | Jong Ajax 1-4 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Ajax score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Ajax sit 18th in Eerste Divisie (8 points from 10 matches) and Jong AZ sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jong AZ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 13 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
A question about Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Jong Ajax.
- Where and when is Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ played?
- Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ is played on November 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Toekomst, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.