Match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt

FC Ingolstadt 04Alemannia Aachen

The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen?

Alemannia Aachen starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,022 vs 1,918).

FC Ingolstadt 04 win35 %
Draw24 %
Alemannia Aachen win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Alemannia Aachen have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ingolstadt 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Preußen Münster(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)2-23. Liga
Aug 1, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Palermo(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Alemannia Aachen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Fortuna Köln(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Verl(home)4-13. Liga
Aug 2, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Roda(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 10, 2026SV Breinig(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Alemannia Aachen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
Oct 18, 2025Alemannia Aachen 0-1 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Mar 11, 2025FC Ingolstadt 04 0-3 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
Oct 5, 2024Alemannia Aachen 1-1 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Apr 8, 2012FC Ingolstadt 04 3-3 Alemannia Aachen2. Bundesliga
Oct 23, 2011Alemannia Aachen 3-1 FC Ingolstadt 042. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Ingolstadt 041.61.548/158/15
Alemannia Aachen3.00.9311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Alemannia Aachen sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Alemannia Aachen2110524
15FC Ingolstadt 042020332

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen?
The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen played?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Ingolstadt 04 and Alemannia Aachen

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