FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen?
Alemannia Aachen starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,022 vs 1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Alemannia Aachen have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Verl(home) | 4-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Roda(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2026 | SV Breinig(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Alemannia Aachen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Alemannia Aachen 0-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Mar 11, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 0-3 Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Alemannia Aachen 1-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Apr 8, 2012 | FC Ingolstadt 04 3-3 Alemannia Aachen | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 23, 2011 | Alemannia Aachen 3-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Alemannia Aachen | 3.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Alemannia Aachen sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen?
- The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
- Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen played?
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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